MLB predictions

MLB Predictions

The public MLB board is live for this day with projected scores, win odds, confidence, and written reasons when DelphAI publishes them for the slate.

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Selected day

2026-05-12

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MLB predictions board

Scan the MLB predictions board first, then use Ask STEVE if you want the published read explained matchup by matchup.

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Public edge board

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Hard leans

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How to read the edge

This board shows the live public pregame slate and the read DelphAI is willing to post before first pitch or tip.
Confidence shows how hard the model leans versus the rest of the board, not a promise that the result cashes.
Availability tells you whether this board is live, still in rollout, temporarily behind, or not public yet.
Written explanation coverage is available across every published card in this slate.

Strongest reads on the board

SF at LAD

Lean: LAD 54.0%

LAD project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 2.7-run expected margin.

Confidence: 28.1%May 13, 2:10 AM UTC

Ask STEVE why this read has heat

AZ at TEX

Lean: TEX 54.0%

TEX project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 2.2-run expected margin.

Confidence: 19.8%May 13, 12:05 AM UTC

Ask STEVE why this read has heat

WSH at CIN

Lean: CIN 54.0%

CIN project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 1.4-run expected margin.

Confidence: 16.2%May 12, 10:40 PM UTC

Ask STEVE why this read has heat

AnalysisDB scoring persistence skipped: Failed to fetch row : ERROR: null value in column "as_of_date" of relation "factor_observation" violates not-null constraint DETAIL: Failing row contains (593db9ed-616b-4d31-aacd-2fa075bffca6, c435beba-0a3f-4878-bf24-b34cc264806a, 8d748662-c793-43bd-9efe-423a8b6a3385, mlb, null, null, null, game, 824843, null, null, 0.350000, 0.350000, 1, null, f, {"components": {"park_day_game_flag": 0, "park_weather_temp_f": ..., {"sourceColumns": ["park_day_game_flag", "park_weather_temp_f", ..., 2026-05-13 03:10:46.533864+00).

May 12, 10:10 PM UTC

LAA at CLE

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

LAA5.2

CLE5.0

Projected Score

LAA 5.2 • CLE 5.0

Win Split

LAA 46.0% / CLE 54.0%

Confidence

1.1%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 33.8 exp • 100%Strikeout • 14.8 exp • 100%Single • 10.8 exp • 100%

CLE project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 0.1-run expected margin.

Projected score: LAA 5.1, CLE 5.0Win edge: LAA 46.0% vs CLE 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 12, 10:35 PM UTC

NYY at BAL

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

NYY5.1

BAL4.1

Projected Score

NYY 5.1 • BAL 4.1

Win Split

NYY 46.0% / BAL 54.0%

Confidence

10.5%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 31.6 exp • 100%Strikeout • 18.0 exp • 100%Single • 9.6 exp • 100%

BAL project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 1.0-run expected margin.

Projected score: NYY 5.1, BAL 4.1Win edge: NYY 46.0% vs BAL 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 12, 10:40 PM UTC

WSH at CIN

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

WSH3.5

CIN4.9

Projected Score

WSH 3.5 • CIN 4.9

Win Split

WSH 46.0% / CIN 54.0%

Confidence

16.2%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 31.4 exp • 100%Strikeout • 17.0 exp • 100%Single • 10.5 exp • 100%

CIN project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 1.4-run expected margin.

Projected score: WSH 3.5, CIN 4.9Win edge: WSH 46.0% vs CIN 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 12, 10:40 PM UTC

COL at PIT

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

COL4.2

PIT3.9

Projected Score

COL 4.2 • PIT 3.9

Win Split

COL 46.0% / PIT 54.0%

Confidence

3.5%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 32.8 exp • 100%Strikeout • 17.8 exp • 100%Single • 10.3 exp • 100%

PIT project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 0.3-run expected margin.

Projected score: COL 4.2, PIT 3.9Win edge: COL 46.0% vs PIT 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 12, 10:45 PM UTC

PHI at BOS

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

PHI4.3

BOS4.9

Projected Score

PHI 4.3 • BOS 4.9

Win Split

PHI 46.0% / BOS 54.0%

Confidence

6.5%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 32.2 exp • 100%Strikeout • 16.4 exp • 100%Single • 10.5 exp • 100%

BOS project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 0.6-run expected margin.

Projected score: PHI 4.3, BOS 4.9Win edge: PHI 46.0% vs BOS 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 12, 11:07 PM UTC

TB at TOR

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

TB3.8

TOR3.4

Projected Score

TB 3.8 • TOR 3.4

Win Split

TB 46.0% / TOR 54.0%

Confidence

6.1%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 33.6 exp • 100%Strikeout • 15.2 exp • 100%Single • 9.5 exp • 100%

TOR project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 0.4-run expected margin.

Projected score: TB 3.8, TOR 3.4Win edge: TB 46.0% vs TOR 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 12, 11:10 PM UTC

DET at NYM

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

DET5.2

NYM5.5

Projected Score

DET 5.2 • NYM 5.5

Win Split

DET 46.0% / NYM 54.0%

Confidence

2.9%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 33.6 exp • 100%Strikeout • 15.3 exp • 100%Single • 10.9 exp • 100%

NYM project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 0.3-run expected margin.

Projected score: DET 5.2, NYM 5.5Win edge: DET 46.0% vs NYM 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 12, 11:15 PM UTC

CHC at ATL

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

CHC6.5

ATL6.2

Projected Score

CHC 6.5 • ATL 6.2

Win Split

CHC 46.0% / ATL 54.0%

Confidence

2.0%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 33.7 exp • 100%Strikeout • 16.8 exp • 100%Single • 12.2 exp • 100%

ATL project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 0.2-run expected margin.

Projected score: CHC 6.4, ATL 6.2Win edge: CHC 46.0% vs ATL 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 12, 11:40 PM UTC

MIA at MIN

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

MIA5.2

MIN4.9

Projected Score

MIA 5.2 • MIN 4.9

Win Split

MIA 46.0% / MIN 54.0%

Confidence

3.0%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 33.4 exp • 100%Strikeout • 15.3 exp • 100%Single • 11.4 exp • 100%

MIN project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 0.3-run expected margin.

Projected score: MIA 5.2, MIN 4.9Win edge: MIA 46.0% vs MIN 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 12, 11:40 PM UTC

KC at CWS

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

KC4.3

CWS5.5

Projected Score

KC 4.3 • CWS 5.5

Win Split

KC 46.0% / CWS 54.0%

Confidence

12.6%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 33.5 exp • 100%Strikeout • 15.5 exp • 100%Single • 14.1 exp • 100%

CWS project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 1.2-run expected margin.

Projected score: KC 4.3, CWS 5.5Win edge: KC 46.0% vs CWS 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 12, 11:40 PM UTC

SD at MIL

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

SD4.8

MIL6.0

Projected Score

SD 4.8 • MIL 6.0

Win Split

SD 46.0% / MIL 54.0%

Confidence

11.6%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 31.4 exp • 100%Strikeout • 15.3 exp • 100%Single • 12.4 exp • 100%

MIL project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 1.2-run expected margin.

Projected score: SD 4.7, MIL 6.0Win edge: SD 46.0% vs MIL 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 13, 12:05 AM UTC

AZ at TEX

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

AZ6.5

TEX4.4

Projected Score

AZ 6.5 • TEX 4.4

Win Split

AZ 46.0% / TEX 54.0%

Confidence

19.8%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 33.9 exp • 100%Strikeout • 15.7 exp • 100%Single • 13.2 exp • 100%

TEX project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 2.2-run expected margin.

Projected score: AZ 6.5, TEX 4.4Win edge: AZ 46.0% vs TEX 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 13, 12:10 AM UTC

SEA at HOU

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

SEA4.2

HOU3.3

Projected Score

SEA 4.2 • HOU 3.3

Win Split

SEA 46.0% / HOU 54.0%

Confidence

12.0%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 31.7 exp • 100%Strikeout • 17.3 exp • 100%Single • 10.1 exp • 100%

HOU project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 0.9-run expected margin.

Projected score: SEA 4.2, HOU 3.3Win edge: SEA 46.0% vs HOU 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 13, 1:40 AM UTC

STL at ATH

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

STL5.7

ATH5.9

Projected Score

STL 5.7 • ATH 5.9

Win Split

STL 46.0% / ATH 54.0%

Confidence

2.0%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 32.0 exp • 100%Strikeout • 16.0 exp • 100%Single • 13.3 exp • 100%

ATH project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 0.2-run expected margin.

Projected score: STL 5.7, ATH 5.9Win edge: STL 46.0% vs ATH 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11

May 13, 2:10 AM UTC

SF at LAD

Open game center Ask STEVE to break down this matchup

SF6.2

LAD3.5

Projected Score

SF 6.2 • LAD 3.5

Win Split

SF 46.0% / LAD 54.0%

Confidence

28.1%

Pregame tells

Ball In Play Out • 33.2 exp • 100%Strikeout • 16.3 exp • 100%Single • 13.0 exp • 100%

LAD project as the likely winner with a 54.0% win probability and a 2.7-run expected margin.

Projected score: SF 6.1, LAD 3.5Win edge: SF 46.0% vs LAD 54.0%

Updated: May 13, 3:10 AM UTC

Trained through: Mon, May 11